摘要5-7
ABSTRACT7-10
TABLE OF CONTENTS10-17
LIST OF TABLES17-19
LIST OF FIGURES19-20
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION20-26
1.1 Overview20-21
1.2 Problem Statement21-23
1.3 Objectives and Significance of the Thesis23-24
1.3.1 Thesis Objectives23
1.3.2 Significance and Contribution of the Thesis23-24
1.4 Methodology24
1.5 Data Sources24
1.6 Thesis Structure24-26
CHAPTER 2: THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK AND LITERATURE REVIEW26-40
2.1 Introduction26
2.2 Theoretical Framework of the Competitiveness and Competitive Position Concepts26-35
2.2.1 Concept of Competitiveness27-28
2.2.2 Elements of Competitiveness28-29
2.2.3 Competitiveness Indicators29-33
2.2.3.1 Market Share Index29
2.2.3.2 Export Strength29-30
2.2.3.3 Market Penetration Index30
2.2.3.4 Export Dependence Index30
2.2.3.5 Export Stabipty30-31
2.2.3.6 Price Competitiveness31-32
2.2.3.7 Production Competitiveness32-33
2.2.4 Determinants of Competitive Position33-35
2.2.4.1 Relative Export Price33
2.2.4.2 Production Stabipty33-34
2.2.4.3 Export Efficiency34-35
2.3 Literature Review of the Previous Studies35-40
2.3.1 Review of Literature in Global Perspectives35-37
2.3.2 Review of Literature in Egypt Perspectives37-40
CHAPTER 3: THE CURRENT SITUATION OF ORANGES ALL OVER THE WORLD40-59
3.1 Introduction40
3.2 Orange’s Global Area40-42
3.2.1 Orange’s Cultivated Area by Continents40-41
3.2.2 Orange’s Cultivated Area by World Countries41-42
3.3 Orange’s Global Production42-44
3.3.1 Orange’s Production by Continents42-43
3.3.2 Orange’s Production by World Countries43-44
3.4 Orange’s Global Exports44-48
3.4.1 Export Quantities of Orange by Continents44-45
3.4.2 Export Quantities of Orange by World Countries45
3.4.3 Export Values of Orange by Continents45-47
3.4.4 Export Values of Orange by World Countries47-48
3.5 Orange’s Global Imports48-52
3.5.1 Imported Quantity of Orange by Continents48-49
3.5.2 Imported Quantity of Orange by World Countries49-50
3.5.3 Imports Value of Orange by Continents50-51
3.5.4 Import Values of Orange by World Countries51-52
3.6 Egypt’s Orange Exports in the Global Market52-59
3.6.1 Development of Egypt’s Orange Exports Volume52
3.6.2 Development of Egypt’s Orange Exports Value52-53
3.6.3 The Geographical Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports53-59
3.6.3.1 Arab Countries53-56
3.6.3.2 EU Countries56-57
3.6.3.3 APEC Countries57-58
3.6.3.4 Other Countries58-59
CHAPTER 4: COMPETITIVENESS AND COMPETITVE POSITION OF EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS (EOE)59-117
4.1 Introduction59
4.2 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports in Saudi Arabia59-76
4.2.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports in Saudi Arabia60-68
4.2.1.1 Price Competitiveness60-61
4.2.1.2 Production Competitiveness61-62
4.2.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)62
4.2.1.4 Market Share Index (MSI)62-64
4.2.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)63
4.2.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)63-64
4.2.1.5 Export Growth Rate64-66
4.2.1.6 Export Stabipty66
4.2.1.7 Export Strength66-68
4.2.1.8 Export Dependence Index68
4.2.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for Egypt’s Orange Exports at Saudi Arabia68-76
4.2.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position69-71
4.2.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index69
4.2.2.1.2 Production Stabipty Index69-70
4.2.2.1.3 Export Efficiency Index70-71
4.2.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position’s on EOE at Saudi Arabia71-76
4.2.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa72
4.2.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Lebanon72-73
4.2.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Turkey73
4.2.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Syria73-74
4.2.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco74
4.2.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Zimbabwe74-76
4.3 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports at UK76-96
4.3.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports at UK76-89
4.3.1.1 Price competitiveness77
4.3.1.2 Production Competitiveness77-79
4.3.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)79
4.3.1.4 Export Market Share Index79-80
4.3.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)79-80
4.3.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)80
4.3.1.5 Export Growth Rate80-85
4.3.1.6 Export Stabipty85
4.3.1.7 Export Strength85
4.3.1.8 Export Dependence Index85-89
4.3.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for EOE at UK Market89-96
4.3.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position89-90
4.3.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index89
4.3.2.1.2 Production Stabipty Index89-90
4.3.2.1.3 Export Efficiency index90
4.3.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position (CP) on EOE at UK Market90-96
4.3.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco90-91
4.3.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa91
4.3.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Israel91-92
4.3.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Uruguay92
4.3.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Cyprus92-93
4.3.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Argentina93
4.3.2.2.7 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Spain93-94
4.3.2.2.8 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Brazil94-96
4.4 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports at Russia96-117
4.4.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports at Russia96-109
4.4.1.1 Price Competitiveness96-97
4.4.1.2 Production Competitiveness97
4.4.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)97-100
4.4.1.4 Export Market Share Index100
4.4.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)100
4.4.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)100
4.4.1.5 Export Growth Rate100-101
4.4.1.6 Export Stabipty101-106
4.4.1.7 Export Strength106
4.4.1.8 Export Dependence Index106-109
4.4.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for EOE at Russian Market109-117
4.4.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position109-110
4.4.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index109
4.4.2.1.2 Production Stabipty Index109-110
4.4.2.1.3 Export Efficiency index110
4.4.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position on EOE at Russian market110-117
4.4.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Greece110-111
4.4.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Turkey111
4.4.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Israel111-112
4.4.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Cyprus112
4.4.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa112-113
4.4.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco113
4.4.2.2.7 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Spain113-114
4.4.2.2.8 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Uruguay114
4.4.2.2.9 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Argentina114
4.4.2.2.10 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis China114-117
CHAPTER 5: DETERMINANTS OF DEMANDE FOR EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET117-135
5.1 Introduction117
5.2 Determinants of Demand for Egyptian Orange in Saudi Arabia’s Market117-123
5.2.1 Economic Variables118
5.2.2 Results of Simple Regression Analysis118-120
5.2.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions120-123
5.2.3.1 Linear Form Trials120-121
5.2.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis120-121
5.2.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis121
5.2.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials121-123
5.2.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis122
5.2.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis122-123
5.3 Determinants of Demand for Egypt’s Orange in UK’s Market123-129
5.3.1 Economic Variables123-124
5.3.2 Result of Simple Regression Analysis124-125
5.3.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions125-129
5.3.3.1 Linear Form Trials125-127
5.3.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis126
5.3.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis126-127
5.3.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials127-129
5.3.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis127-128
5.3.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis128-129
5.4 Determinants of Demand for Egypt’s Orange in Russia’s Market129-135
5.4.1 Economic Variables129-130
5.4.2 Result of Simple Regression Analysis130-131
5.4.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions131-135
5.4.3.1 Linear Form Trials132-133
5.4.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis132
5.4.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis132-133
5.4.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials133-135
5.4.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis133-134
5.4.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis134-135
CHAPTER 6: THE OPTIMAL PLANNING OF EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET135-153
6.1 Introduction135-136
6.2 Theoretical and Analytical Framework of Linear Programming (LP) Model136-140
6.2.1 Assumptions of LP Model136-138
6.2.2 Elements of LP Model138-140
6.3 LP Models Used in Optimal Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports140-143
6.3.1 Objective Function141
6.3.2 Constraints141-143
6.3.2.1 Logical Constraint141
6.3.2.2 Alternative Constraints141-143
6.3.2.2.1 The First Model142
6.3.2.2.2 The Second Model142
6.3.2.2.3 The Third Model142
6.3.2.2.4 The Fourth Model142-143
6.3.2.2.5 The Fifth Model143
6.4 The Current Plan and the Optimal Alternative Plans of Egypt’s Orange Exports143-150
6.4.1 The Current Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports143-145
6.4.2 The Optimal Alternative Plans for Egypt’s Orange Exports145-150
6.4.2.1 The First Optimal Alternative Plan145-146
6.4.2.2 The Second Optimal Alternative Plan146
6.4.2.3 The Third Optimal Alternative Plan146-147
6.4.2.4 The Fourth Optimal Alternative Plan147-148
6.4.2.5 The Fifth Optimal Alternative Plan148-150
6.5 Sensitivity Analysis of Export Price in Optimal Alternative Plans150-153
6.5.1 Sensitivity Analysis for the First Alternative Plan150
6.5.2 Sensitivity Analysis for the Second Alternative Plan150
6.5.3 Sensitivity Analysis for the Third Alternative Plan150-151
6.5.4 Sensitivity Analysis for the Fourth Alternative Plan151
6.5.5 Sensitivity Analysis for the Fifth Alternative Plan151-153
CHAPTER 7: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS153-162
7.1 Introduction153
7.2 Development of the Study153-154
7.3 Conclusions154-160
7.4 Recommendations160-162
REFERENCES162-166
APPENDIX166-197
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS197-198
ACKNOLEDGEMENTS198